Education Department asked for. Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., an ESSA architect, has expressed big concerns about this.
What will be the fate of the U.S. Department of Education’s budget? Will U.S. Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos get to applaud any new school choice initiative? And will Congress prevent hundreds of thousands of “Dreamers” from being deported?
Here’s a rundown of what to watch for in Washington over the next 12 months when it comes to K-12:
Will the Education Department get a $9.2 billion cut?
Back in the spring, Trump proposed slashing the Education Department’s roughly $68 billion budget by $9.2 billion. He put some key programs on the chopping block, including Title II, a $2 billion program that helps states train teachers and reduce class size, as well as the 21st Century Community Learning Centers program, a $1.1 billion after-school and summer learning program.
It looks like the cut to the after-school program isn’t happening, since bills in both the House and Senate keep the program in place. But Title II is more of a cliffhanger. The Senate kept the program intact, but the House voted to kill it. And there are other programs that could be eliminated or cut drastically.
Lawmakers might pass a final fiscal 2018 budget this month, so we may get some answers soon. And whatever Congress passes will impact the 2018-19 school year.
Will DeVos get a big school choice initiative over the finish line?
Trump came into office promising $20 billion for school choice. What he’s goten so far: new language in the tax code that allows families to use 529 plans—previously just for college savings—for K-12 costs, including private school tuition.
DeVos called that a good “first step,” but acknowledged it won’t do much to help children from low-income families.
However, it’s unclear if lawmakers will do more on school choice. Last year Congress rejected DeVos’ other school choice pitches—a new voucher program and the chance to allow Title I money to follow students to the school of their choice. It is unlikely she’ll have much more luck this year, since presidents typically are in the best position to advance their favorite programs during their first year in office. DeVos isn’t backing down yet.
DeVos could try a new school choice proposal, such as turning the $1 billion Impact Aid program into a voucher system. (Impact Aid helps districts make up for revenue lost because of a federal presence, such as a reservation or military base.) That’s something the conservative Heritage Foundation has pitched. But the Impact Aid community really doesn’t want to see this happen.
Will Congress come up with a legislative fix to save the “Dreamers” from deportation?
Last year, President Donald Trump rescinded the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, or DACA, an Obama-era initiative that gave some 800,000 undocumented immigrants that came to the country as children—known as Dreamers—a chance to stay legally. Unless Congress acts, DACA will end in March, and recipients could face deportation. Some 250,000 school-age children have become DACA-eligible since President Barack Obama began the program in 2012. And about 20,000 current DACA recipients are working as teachers, the Migration Policy Institute estimates. Trump has challenged Congress to come up with a plan to protect Dreamers, and some lawmakers are pushing to get things done, but the prospects of a deal remain shaky.
What happens with implementation of the Every Student Succeeds Act?
Every state has turned in a plan to implement ESSA. As of late last month, 15 states and the District of Columbia, all of which filed their plans last spring, had been approved. The department is currently in the process of reviewing the 34 plans filed last fall. So far, DeVos has approved plans even if states didn’t make all of the changes the Education Department asked for. Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., an ESSA architect, has expressed big concerns about this.
What’s more, states and districts are waiting to see if the department moves forward on a pilot program in the law, dealing with weighted-student funding formulas. Earlier this month, the department gave states until April 2 to apply for the law’s Innovative Assessment Pilot, which allows states to try out new types of tests in a handful of districts.
How much will DeVos be able to roll back the Education Department’s footprint?
One of the Trump administration’s top priorities is getting rid of regulations, programs, and even personnel that it describes as unnecessary or duplicative. At the beginning of last year, Congress got the ball rolling by getting rid of ESSA accountability regulations and teacher-prep regulations through the Congressional Review Act. So far, DeVos has scrapped hundreds of pieces of guidance and rules that she said were outdated or redundant.
There could be some bigger regulatory changes on the horizon. DeVos and company may delay implementation of an Obama-era rule that would require states to take a stricter approach to identifying whether their districts have wide racial or ethnic disparities in special education. She may get rid of Obama-era guidance calling on districts to ensure that discipline policies don’t have a disproportionate impact on students from certain racial and ethnic groups.
DeVos has also offered buyouts to shrink the department’s workforce.
How will education play in the midterm elections?
The party that doesn’t hold the White House typically does well in midterm congressional elections, so Democrats have a shot at retaking the House of Representatives. And there’s a slim chance they could pick up seats in the Senate. So will Democrats use K-12 issues—especially opposition to DeVos—to get voters to the polls? It’s a good bet. The party started invoking DeVos’ name in fundraising emails even before she was officially sworn in as secretary.
A version of this article appeared in the January 17, 2018 edition of Education Week as What’s on the Runway for Trump, Congress on Education?