Federal File

Decision 2004

Some Youth Surveys Were More on Target Than Those Early Exit Polls

Article Tools
  • PrintPrinter-Friendly
  • EmailEmail Article
  • ReprintReprints

The results are in, and now it’s time to see who won—the mock elections, that is.

With a number of youth presidential polls claiming a track record of correct predictions, and with results from the mock elections split between President Bush and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, some had to be wrong this year.

At least half a dozen children’s media organizations and other groups conducted youth polls. The mock votes held by the educational publisher Scholastic Inc., Weekly Reader magazine, and the classroom TV news show Channel One all went for President Bush. Weekly Reader claims a perfect record of predicting the winner going back to the election of 1956.

Students at Northfield Mount Hermon School.
Students at Northfield Mount Hermon School announce mock presidential-election results.
—Craig Hefner/Courtesy of Northfield Mount Hermon School

The elections held by the Nickelodeon cable TV channel, and the Northfield, Mass.-based Voting Opportunities for Teenagers in Every State, or VOTES, went for Sen. Kerry.

The VOTES program had correctly predicted the winner of every presidential contest since 1988.

Jim Shea, a co-founder of the VOTES program, and a government teacher at the 875-student Northfield Mount Hermon School, where the program is based, said he didn’t think the fact that the real election turned out differently upset the participants.

Mr. Shea noted that after the 2000 presidential election, the political process disheartened a number of students. Although many students at the liberal-leaning private school were disappointed with the result this year, he said, “the process worked, even if the results didn’t. … It was a bit of a dose of reality for some of our kids.”

The national program involves at least two high schools from each state, and, as in the real election, the winner is decided by electoral votes. Sen. Kerry finished strong with 326 electoral votes and 50.2 percent of the popular vote, while President Bush received 212 electoral votes and 42.5 percent of the popular vote.

The National Student/Parent Mock Election, which is usually a few days before Election Day, was held open until Nov. 2 this year because of technical difficulties. President Bush got 52 percent of the vote, with Mr. Kerry receiving 44 percent.

The Time for Kids Web site held a mock vote on Election Day that went to Mr. Bush, with 53.5 percent. Mr. Kerry got 42.9 percent.

Vol. 24, Issue 11, Page 24

Published in Print: November 10, 2004, as Decision 2004

Back to Top Back to Top

Most Popular Stories





Sponsor Insights

Free Ebook: How to Implement a Coding Program in Schools

Successful Intervention Builds Student Success

Effective Ways to Support Students with Dyslexia

Stop cobbling together your EdTech

Integrate Science and ELA with Informational Text

Can self-efficacy impact growth for ELLs?

Disruptive Tech Integration for Meaningful Learning

Building Community for Social Good

5 Resources on the Power of Interoperability from Unified Edtech

New campaign for UN World Teachers Day

5 Game-Changers in Today’s Digital Learning Platforms

Hiding in Plain Sight - 7 Common Signs of Dyslexia in the Classroom

The research: Reading Benchmark Assessments

Shifting Mindsets: A Guide for Training Paraeducators to Think Differently About Challenging Behavior

All Students Are Language Learners: The Imagine Learning Language Advantage™

Shifting Mindsets: A Guide for Training Paraeducators to Think Differently About Challenging Behavior

How to Support All Students with Equitable Pathways

2019 K-12 Digital Content Report

3-D Learning & Assessment for K–5 Science

Climate Change, LGBTQ Issues, Politics & Race: Instructional Materials for Teaching Complex Topics

Closing the Science Achievement Gap

Evidence-based Coaching: Key Driver(s) of Scalable Improvement District-Wide

Advancing Literacy with Large Print

Research Sheds New Light on the Reading Brain

Tips for Supporting English Learners Through Personalized Approaches

Response to Intervention Centered on Student Learning

The Nonnegotiable Attributes of Effective Feedback

SEE MORE Insights >