Research And Reports
Technology and rapid work-force changes will reshape schools over the next 15 years in ways that the recent school-reform reports did not take into account, suggests a futurist who has completed a study of what lies ahead for schools.
The American Association of School Administrators commissioned Marvin Cetron, president of Forecasting International Inc. of Arlington, Va., to conduct the study, which has been published as a book, Schools of the Future, by the McGraw-Hill Book Company. Results of the study were released earlier this month at the aasa convention in Dallas.
After examining national and international economic and social trends, Mr. Cetron presents a picture of what he thinks schools will be like by the year 2000. Although the reform reports should be taken seriously, school planners need also to consider the broader forces at work to change schools, he argues.
On the basis of his research, Mr. Cetron predicts that:
Jobs will change dramatically every 5 to 10 years because of new technologies, so workers will require periodic and regular re-education. Consequently, schools will become 24-hour learning centers, where youths and adults will be trained for work.
New technologies, such as computers, videodiscs, and cable television may enable students to spend one or two days each week studying at home.
Schools and businesses will form partnerships, and in many cases the private sector will supply the financing schools need to expand their programs.
Teachers, because of the additional responsibilities imposed on them, will achieve greater status within our society and receive salaries comparable with other professionals.
Copies of the book are available for $12.25, plus $2.50 for postage and handling, from aasa Publications, 1801 North Moore St., Arlington, Va. 22209.