Copyright YYYY, Editorial
Over the next 16 years, the number of high-school graduates is expected to drop sharply, from 2.9 million--the enrollment level for 1980-81--to 2.3 million in 1992-93, before climbing to 2.7 million by the year 2000. The figures presented below, compiled by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, the Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association, and the College Board, represent estimates for both public and private high schools in 22 states and for public schools alone in the remaining 28 states. The actual number of graduates, note the authors of the report, could be higher than the estimates given here.
1980-81
(actual)1983-841986-871989-901992-931995-961999-2000
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Alabama
- 44,89439,10738,34039,19436,97039,32439,447
Alaska
- 5,3585,4636,0426,4136,7157,7508,829
Arizona
- 28,41626,76527,52827,52326,13728,03234,262
Arkansas
- 29,41426,18325,27625,67822,33622,59123,308
California271,474248,156256,343239,213244,731271,932320,997
Colorado
- 35,99332,57234,23733,56433,14836,39045,246
Connecticut44,59839,92836,92530,54627,40528,25530,611
Delaware10,8947,7867,2786,6806,1156,4206,805
District of Columbia
- 4,8483,8703,2702,8022,4832,3862,388
Florida99,51192,17592,87396,52290,63993,848119,621
Georgia
- 62,96358,94356,69551,83353,66554,92958,862
Hawaii14,61012,61212,77212,01011,78412,80914,376
Idaho
- 12,93111,73412,20912,58513,38515,60615,789
Illinois156,981133,214125,198116,555109,620112,935118,871
Indiana80,78370,16865,17264,61460,05959,00059,384
Iowa
- 42,35535,86933,17930,55829,10231,16931,279
Kansas
- 29,39726,02725,38624,46224,06125,42728,329
Kentucky46,29742,71740,81740,54237,14037,98137,585
Louisiana54,57148,90847,66646,98847,05151,92358,349
Maine
- 15,55413,87013,23512,39311,36611,54812,156
Maryland60,89356,22852,37045,04640,66442,50048,888
Massachusetts
- 75,93467,71562,15051,99444,63445,80749,420
Michigan
- 124,372108,778102,86392,99881,15487,34386,807
Minnesota68,44358,07056,14550,56248,50452,63358,302
Mississippi
- 28,08325,75524,80223,25622,82123,18223,575
Missouri
- 60,34052,34949,03746,04642,75044,04546,466
Montana
- 11,6349,7839,4949,0229,0059,84710,569
Nebraska23,72920,47219,30219,02318,60819,58921,033
Nevada9,3758,7139,0069,1089,11110,75813,907
New Hampshire
- 11,93811,09610,68710,1458,0868,8829,672
New Jersey
- 94,15785,03279,37168,64862,00963,55466,869
New Mexico18,69316,44215,94016,04816,29318,02220,816
New York230,237206,490188,510166,220156,588155,531166,187
North Carolina
- 70,16866,06065,80364,63358,42459,07361,582
North Dakota10,7309,0378,1708,2448,3528,9249,952
Ohio154,489139,655131,817127,124116,787119,968122,666
Oklahoma
- 38,82334,52736,82838,02935,93937,71048,284
Oregon
- 29,35426,61227,26125,58025,70328,44329,938
Pennsylvania169,075150,864138,189124,876112,153113,472121,093
Rhode Island
- 10,7199,5438,4837,3656,2946,8597,404
South Carolina40,07438,25536,81837,22134,51136,37437,839
South Dakota10,4318,4437,7447,4427,4498,0308,448
Tennessee
- 51,02146,56045,13845,20141,05642,51542,888
Texas
- 171,665159,108172,179184,515189,690202,979255,370
Utah
- 19,88619,12320,92822,81126,75932,75535,055
Vermont
- 6,5136,1286,0135,6505,0915,4496,192
Virginia
- 67,14759,96859,36054,39849,35850,83056,200
Washington52,39246,89349,88946,46246,12148,48357,402
West Virginia24,30022,56522,29922,11120,60619,86018,950
Wisconsin75,69266,43261,25354,56851,89854,65659,242
Wyoming
- 6,1615,7586,2936,7327,0878,0699,598
Total2,918,3102,618,5232,544,5832,411,7552,297,4152,416,3952,677,108|
- Projections include graduates of public high schools only. All other state projections include public and nonpublic high-school graduates.
Projections are for 1998-99.
Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education.